Paste chronological closing prices, one per line or comma separated. The tool converts them into previous-day
close-to-close returns, buckets those returns into 6 sigma states, and estimates the next day using the
latest state and a smoothed transition matrix. A small smoothing factor is applied internally so zero-count
transitions do not break the model.
Results
Symbol
—
Expected Next Move
—
Expected Next Close
—
Next State
—
Next State Probability
—
Current State
—
Positive Probability
—
Negative Probability
—
Edge
—
Std Dev Return
—
Closing Price with Next-Day Projection
Blue line shows historical closes. Green segment and dot project the expected next closing price from the current state.
| Bucket | B1 | B2 | B3 | B4 | B5 | B6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucket midpoints will appear here. | ||||||
| From | B1 | B2 | B3 | B4 | B5 | B6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transition matrix will appear here. | ||||||